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  1. PredictIt - Markets

    PredictIt is a platform for trading shares on political events and accessing market insights.

  2. Sabato's Crystal Ball - Sabato's Crystal Ball

    Dec 11, 2025 · Larry Sabato's Crystal Ball is a free, nonpartisan weekly online political newsletter and website in the United States that analyzes current American politics and predicts electoral outcomes …

  3. Predicting the 2024 Elections | Polls and Political News

    Predicts the Winner of Presidential, Senate, and Gubernatorial Elections. One of the Nation's Best Forecasters in 2020. Updated Every Day with the Latest Polls.

  4. Why do voters love political predictions? Allan Lichtman may know.

    Sep 22, 2024 · Allan Lichtman told USA TODAY his 2024 choice set off an "avalanche." Here's why he thinks Americans love political predictions.

  5. Prediction Markets - Coinbase

    Trade thousands of real-world events from sports, crypto, economics, politics, culture, and more on Coinbase. Turn your predictions into trades.

  6. Kevin Warsh odds jump 27 points on Kalshi as Trump Fed chair race ...

    5 days ago · Kevin Warsh's odds to become chair of the Federal Reserve surged 27 points to 42% on the Kalshi prediction market as President Trump narrows his choice between two leading candidates.

  7. Philip Rossen: Political Prediction: Tools and Techniques

    Political prediction is a fascinating field that combines elements of political science, statistics, and data analysis. It involves forecasting political events, trends, and outcomes based on historical data, …

  8. Why are we making probabilistic election forecasts? (and why don’t we ...

    Aug 30, 2024 · Polling data (and prediction market data) are valuable for political scientists to understand the trajectory and impact of various events to get to the outcome. Prediction markets …

  9. PredictIt Basics - Predicting Politics

    PredictIt is kind of like a stock market but for political events. Each political event, like the outcome of an election, is either going to happen or not happen. In the PredictIt marketplace, traders exchange …

  10. Election results show potential of prediction markets, blockchain

    Dec 6, 2024 · A prediction market was more accurate in forecasting the 2024 presidential election than traditional polls and pundits. The potential displayed by that success in forecasting the election, …